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And also there is an anomalous similarity between Saul and .at. not only in style, but in the IP I like the observer is just interesting to compare the answers with mathematical probability, but since .at. left slamming the door, I had to take over this responsibility. Count then right, and under his nickname.

that does not negate the incorrect processing results

At the second stage.

1 Task.
The probability of guessing fluid/granular is 50%
The probability of guessing one of edible/inedible is 50%
The probability of guessing, no edible/inedible is 25%
The probability of guessing two edible/inedible is 25%
The probability of guessing the color is, assume 10% margin

2 Task.
The probability to guess the value of one denomination is 14-16%, 6-7 denominations
Two: 2%
The probability of guessing one bill is about 15%, 6 options
The probability of guessing two bills is 2%
The probability to guess the hemisphere 50%
The probability to guess the continent, 16%, 6 continents
The probability to guess the country of 0.5%, 200 countries

3 the Job.

The possibility to determine NOT ACE 33%
Likely to determine the color of the suit 50%
The probability to guess the suit 25%
The probability to determine the value of the card is 12.5%

4 the Job.

Interest on the hemisphere, continent, country, above

5 the Job.

The probability of guessing the Cup 50%
The probability to guess the object, let's say 2%, of the 50 items

6 Job

The probability of guessing the photo is 0%, if it's not a definite person, which will remember everything the first time


The second stage is more correct and will be very significant for both treatment options result. Here already we can honestly be considered a composite likelihood. For example, to guess the first task 1.2%

сол wrote:that does not negate the incorrect processing results

It is incorrect to have the same song under a different name, thinking thus to create the illusion of "mass opinion."
1. The passing score is known.
2. Anyone can check the count of their points independently.
That's what they mean by the results and it was done correctly. If someone by mistake (a lot of participants) incorrectly counted the points party about that, of course, will tell and everything will be rechecked.

this is not opinion, it is math after all. The figures for the second phase are final, not subject to revision. Look at the results.

сол wrote:the guess the Number of threes obtained 19 people (22.6%)

You are probably in the heat...wrong thought. That "math".

In the fifth task was considered accurate guessing of the suit, not the color, as the interest under the suit was calculated. Hence the discrepancy may. In any case, with compound probabilities do not play, look at direct.

сол wrote:In the fifth task was considered accurate guessing of the suit, not the color

It is a fact

сол wrote:it's too Early to wishful thinking

And it is - opinion.

the fact that guessing the 3 tasks out of 6 is 50%
and someone guessed 1 of 6 in case - what's the logic?

Ростислав wrote:and someone guessed 1 of 6 in case - what's the logic?

It is not, in the past stage 1 there is no person, who gave the correct answer for only 1 task.

well 2
and is there anyone on 4 or 5 said?

Ростислав wrote:is there anyone on 4 or 5 said?

Since the tasks of the first type (max 1 point) 3, all 4 gave the correct answer, passed the 1st stage.
Giving 5 correct answers you will not get less than 5 points and is guaranteed to pass.
Assignments and responses are not equal. For example, to give the right answer to the question of the two possible options and to call "chewing gum" among the huge number of possible objects that are not equal. This did not happen, but if someone gave the answer "chewing gum" 6-th task, not responding correctly to any other question, it would be worthy of passing, right? This is the essence of point system.

Ростислав wrote:are there any who 4

6 or 7 people gave correct answers to 4 jobs. Answers free, You can see for yourself.

and that someone called two pads orbits?

No. The closest answers to task 6 were:

still, something light, barely fits in your hand, rounded with a notch. probably eat it - just kidding, not very edible!

lifeless.light.square.

the information comes through a dream. dreamed of a person's mouth closeup, you can see the lips, teeth, yellow and unpleasant. It is possible that the sheet - dentures. The color is clearly white. Perhaps the jaw is in a glass of water, because I'm not at all one thing

Ростислав wrote:and that someone named two pads orbits?

No but for example the map was described accurately .
Good whine))). Who's scored more than 5 points. And some as much as 10 (my compliments!) .

I'm curious - I saw in task 5, the ACE of spades. And some other members too. And she was one of the cards in task 3. I wonder-is it just a coincidence ? Or is there some explanation?

The most interesting and close response to 6 job in my opinion gave Bellary. He first wrote "edible", then corrected the answer and added, "just kidding, not edible". Indeed, chewing gum can be called edible and inedible at the same time.

сол wrote:the Probability of guessing the value of one denomination is 14-16%, 6-7 denominations

Maybe under one of the sheets 5 000 000 BYR 500 000 000 Zimbabwean dollars or 500 000 000 000 Yugoslavian dinars?

I agree, in this case, the probability is greatly reduced. I don't know what the answers are, so you can evaluate on the basis of average values. Put the bill in 50000000 Belarusian rubles would be very proper staging of the competition. In this case, the probability will be recalculated to include a complete set of States, as in all jobs where there are extreme cases like this.

If we start from the mean expected value, that is easy enough to understand what the bill is at hand, even if the person travels extensively around the world. Most likely something left over from travel, it is unlikely that the author of the competition bonist.

сол wrote:even if the person travels extensively around the world. Most likely something left over from travel, it is unlikely that the author of the competition bonist.

probably the list of countries can be found in this thread )
viewtopic.php?f=5&t=5503

Андрей Кабанков wrote:0 points
Feng

"contrary instincts" is also a kind of intuition
propose to include Feng in the list passed 1этап

сол wrote:7 people, that is 8.3% of the 84 participants, but it can 85ти, too lazy to count exactly )) But not of 11.6%. School math )))

Do you think the answers to 5 assignments, 1-th stage 6. Add the correct answers 3 participants at the 6th question, which was accrued points, you get 10. Participants in 86, not 84. This is 11.6%
Else not concerning the topic of the contest Intuition, is removed.

Observers recognize only one correct answer to question 6: Donna Lilies (and we both know who it is), 4 points from 6 )))

Beloyar wrote that the hand BARELY fits. And the subject in hand is placed in his hands. Also true is the last answer, not the changing opinions... And then you can write "edible... Oh, not edible... well, almost edible... inedible... sometimes how you look - whether edible, or inedible" )))

A third response is a very blurred and the faithful is not recognized. Person or see the subject and its application, or did not see...

Аура wrote:information comes through a dream. dreamed of a person's mouth closeup, you can see the lips, teeth, yellow and unpleasant. It is possible that the sheet - dentures. The color is clearly white. Perhaps the jaw is in a glass of water, because I'm not at all one thing

To chewing gum the answer is irrelevant. Nothing even remotely in common.

I was surprised by the criteria of passing the 1st stage - 5 points on the candles were recruited without risk not to guess (it was enough to look closely at the 2 pictures lying next (to wear glasses for vision aura) - in the first photo on the left is a circle of light, right there; on the second there is no circles of light). And the rest pedately 3 jobs Mat was 0,5 + 0,33 + 1,25 = of 2.08.
It turns out that the "average" result should be at least more than 7 points.
About the last job I thought I was 1-2 points will be given for any correctly named parameters - living/non-living; small/large; color; material, etc., and gave a result only 3 of the answer (talking about white teeth was a really good answer - very close). But it did not affect the final alignment.

Stage 2 is much more complicated. Glasses vision auras don't want to give answers, but Google refused to identify the terrain of the 4 tasks...